U.S. Government White House Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP)
- Government Administration
INFER helped the U. S. Government Office of Science and Technology Policy use issue decomposition and crowdsourced forecasting to address...national security concerns in microelectronics. The challenge was to regain U.S. leadership in semiconductor innovation. Cultivate Labs ran a year-long decomposition lifecycle, including workshops, research, and expert reviews. They created a decomposition map and developed forecast questions to track progress. Quarterly reports visualized scenario likelihoods and changes in expert judgment.
Cultivate Forecasts helped Broadspectrum, a Ferrovial subsidiary, improve strategic decision-making. The company used crowdsourced forecasting with hundreds of employees in... its government defense practice. Employees provided quantitative and qualitative forecasts on business and industry outcomes. The platform increased forecast accuracy, improved collaboration, and gave real-time insights. Broadspectrum integrated these forecasts into their decision process and recognized top contributors monthly.
Oil & Energy Case Studies and Customer Success Stories with Cultivate Forecasts
Royal Dutch Shell
- Oil & Energy
Cultivate Forecasts helped Royal Dutch Shell's Global Exploration Group use crowdsourced forecasting for drilling and lease sale decisions. Shell launched the... platform with 200 employees in the Gulf of Mexico, then expanded it to over 800 globally. The prediction market improved forecast accuracy and gave everyone a voice. Insights from the platform led to a 94% success rate in a recent lease sale. Forecasts also influenced bid amounts and challenged conventional thinking.
